The Party of Communists of the R. of Moldova, leading in polls
All the opinion polls conducted so far have placed the Party of Communists as a leader in Moldovan electorate preferences. Their popularity average is rated between 32 and 40 percent.
Articol de Lina Grâu, Chişinău, 23 Noiembrie 2010, 10:09
Short before the campaign for the early parliamentary elections in the Republic of Moldova, several polls of voters' choice are made public, but they show different results.
Three companies have submitted on Monday, a week before the election campaign, the results of a sociological survey on the topic of political preferences.
All the opinion polls conducted so far have placed the Party of Communists as a leader in Moldovan electorate preferences.
Their popularity average is rated between 32 and 40 percent.
The second position is occupied with the same consistency by the Liberal Democratic Party of Prime Minister Vlad Filat of the Republic of Moldova, with margins between 18 and 31 percent of the votes.
Third in row is the Democratic Party of Marian Lupu, with an average between 14 and 18 percent of the votes, followed by the Liberal Party, of interim President Mihai Ghimpu, which accumulated 11 to 13 percent of the votes.
While some polls show that these four parties alone have a chance to exceed the four percent threshold, some others also offer this opportunity to both the Party Alliance Our Moldova, which is part of the current coalition government, and the Christian Humanist Party of Moldova, led by the former security chief in Moldova. The latter is aimed at embracing an orthodox view during the campaign.
Only a half of the Moldovan electorate will vote
George Popescu, member of the Centre for Public Opinion and Market Research in Romania, observes that only half of the respondents will participate in voting, while the electoral campaign has not managed to bring significant change in public opinion.
`We tried to determine on which terms the electorate campaign influenced the Moldovan electorate and we observed that the PLDM gained popularity, as an only significant change.
The Party of Communists has dropped a couple of points in popularity, possibly one, considering the margin of error. The other parties kept their positions`, stated George Popescu.
Most polls feature a possible post-election coalition formed by the four parties of the current coalition government, in order to remain in power.
The non-communist alliance is likely to be amended after elections
Political analyst Igor Boţan expresses the possibility that one of the allied parties, the Democratic Party most likely, will establish a centre-left coalition with the communists, as a result of the disputes generated by this campaign.
"In my opinion, there are equal chances for both centre-left and centre-right coalitions to establish.
"What we know for sure, is that political parties are supported by very strong financial groups. We are not aware on which terms they influence each other", stated Igor Boţan, political analyst.
Igor Boţan reported on Monday that he still believes the current non-communist alliance will be included in the new Parliament, in order to induce and continue the process of change in Moldovan political life.
Translated by Mihaela Grigoraş and Voicu Diana
MA Students, MTTLC, Bucharest University